USD/JPY lurches higher after Powell splashes cold water on rate cut hopes
By: bitcoin ethereum news|2025/05/08 05:15:01
0
Share
USD/JPY fell to the 143.00 region after the Fed held rates steady on Wednesday. Market anticipation of a rate cut in July accelerated after Fed warned of rising economic risks. Market sentiment reversed course sharply after Fed Chair Powell warned that tariffs make it difficult for the Fed to achieve its goals. USD/JPY took a header on Wednesday, falling to 143.00 in intraday trading after the Federal Reserve (Fed) held rates steady at 4.25-4.5%, as many investors had expected. Market bets of an impending pivot by the Fed into a rate-cutting cycle rose after Fed policymakers warned of rising economic risks. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reversed market flows sharply after noting that the risks for the Fed to maintain its wait-and-see stance remain very low. Based on the Fed’s recent rate announcement, policymakers indicated that although US employment and economic activity are generally stable, the risks to labor and production have increased. This rise in risk primarily stems from uncertainties related to tariffs and US trade policies. The concerns voiced by Fed officials about economic risks fueled market expectations for potential rate cuts, resulting in an unexpected surge in risk appetite. Read more Fed news here: We don’t have to be in a hurry Market sentiment declined after Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference. He pointed out that if US trade tariffs remain, they will hinder the Fed’s goals regarding inflation and employment for the rest of the year. Powell also warned that persistent policy uncertainty will likely lead the Fed to maintain its ‘wait-and-see’ stance on interest rates. Despite significant damage to consumer and business confidence caused by the Trump administration’s tariff policies, hard economic data has shown little negative impact, complicating the Fed’s ability to justify any immediate changes in interest rates. According to the CME’s FedWatch Tool, the rate markets continue to anticipate a quarter-point rate cut in July; however, the probability of another rate hold in July has increased to 30%, dampening widespread expectations for a smooth transition into another rate-cutting phase. USD/JPY 5-minute chart Fed FAQs Monetary policy in the US is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, it raises interest rates, increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This results in a stronger US Dollar (USD) as it makes the US a more attractive place for international investors to park their money. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates to encourage borrowing, which weighs on the Greenback. The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds eight policy meetings a year, where the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assesses economic conditions and makes monetary policy decisions. The FOMC is attended by twelve Fed officials – the seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four of the remaining eleven regional Reserve Bank presidents, who serve one-year terms on a rotating basis. In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy high grade bonds from financial institutions. QE usually weakens the US Dollar. Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process of QE, whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing, to purchase new bonds. It is usually positive for the value of the US Dollar. Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/usd-jpy-dumps-after-fed-warns-of-rising-economic-risks-202505071815
You may also like

Morning Report | Illinois signs the strictest digital asset tax law in the U.S.; RWA tokenization market size surpasses $43 billion, institutions accelerate the migration of on-chain assets
Overview of Important Market Events on June 17

Full version of the debut Q&A! Federal Reserve Chairman Waller: Sticking to the 2% inflation target, establishing five special working groups, individual did not submit the dot plot
Federal Reserve Chairman Waller's debut featured a significant slimming statement, the cancellation of forward guidance, refusal to submit the dot plot, and the establishment of five working groups, vowing to uphold the 2% inflation target, which triggered a sharp decline in U.S. stocks and a surge ...

From Disruptor to Shadow Market: The Crypto Market is Becoming a Colony of Traditional Finance
"Coin-stock linkage" has evolved from the early stage of macro correlation and one-way penetration of emotional funds to the current 3.0 stage, where on-chain perpetual contracts provide extended trading hours and emotional signal value for traditional assets 24/7, and participate in Pre-IPO pricing...

Dalio's important long article: How to position in the current market environment?
Do not confuse the excitement for new technologies with whether those tech stocks are attractive.

OKX Star analyzes Binance's competitive advantages: when regulation levels the playing field, competition has just begun
OKX founder Star published a lengthy article, systematically analyzing Binance's competitive advantages over the years: regulatory arbitrage, speculative narrative cycles, social media control, and superficial compliance, stating that the essence of these advantages is not product capability, but ra...

New gameplay for participating in initial offerings on cryptocurrency exchanges
In this competition for cutting-edge assets, what has always been truly scarce is not the technology, but the underlying equity itself.

Why Is Bitcoin Down Today? What the Hawkish FOMC Means for SpaceX, Gold and Nasdaq
Why is Bitcoin down today? A hawkish FOMC pressured crypto and gold, while SpaceX surged to a $2.5 trillion valuation and Nasdaq gained attention. Here's what happened and why traders are looking beyond Bitcoin.

DeepSeek Financing Story
DeepSeek's financing insider information exposed: "Four-hour meeting" fully demonstrates Liang Wenfeng's determination for AGI, over a hundred institutions involved, Sequoia and Hillhouse rarely absent, not poaching talent is the hardest red line.

Morning Report | DeepSeek completes over $7 billion in financing, with a valuation exceeding $50 billion; Musk's personal wealth has surpassed the total market value of Bitcoin
Overview of Important Market Events on June 16

Cursor, why did you get on Musk's spaceship?
SpaceX set a record with its IPO, spending a staggering $60 billion to acquire the popular AI programming unicorn Cursor just four days later. Musk is using the ultimate puzzle of "super computing power + top coding engine" to propel the market value skyrocketing, surpassing Amazon in one fell swoop...

In the name of charity, for the benefit of the family: How the Trump family turned charity into profit?
This set of "beautiful rhetoric and value return to one's own people" has not stopped at charitable foundations; it has now almost been transferred intact to American Bitcoin.

Will Gold Break $4,500 After Tonight's Fed Decision? What XAUT and PAXG Traders Need to Know
The Federal Reserve announces its June rate decision tonight. Could gold break $4,500 next? Explore the latest gold price prediction, key Fed scenarios, and what they mean for XAUT and PAXG traders.

SharpLink CEO: How to understand that Ethereum developers have just surpassed 1 million?
The most important question in the cryptocurrency industry is not which chain is the fastest, but rather where top builders choose to build in the long term. Ethereum has just surpassed one million cumulative developers; what does this number mean?

Morning Report | MiCA grace period expires on July 1; Kalshi's trading volume in the first week of the World Cup breaks $5.1 billion, setting a record
Overview of Important Market Events on June 15

The foundation of SpaceX's trillion-dollar valuation: Who is dividing Musk's annual capital expenditure of tens of billions?
SpaceX Supply Chain Revealed: The Invisible Gold Mine Behind the Trillion-Dollar "Space Dream," from Nvidia's Computing Power Monopoly to China's Sole Supplier of Special Materials, these overlooked water-selling talents are the true wealth creation engine.

How to exit after asset tokenization?
Currently, three models have emerged, aimed at providing instant exit routes for tokenized real-world assets. Their differences lie in: who holds the funds required for exit, how efficiently the funds operate, and the extent to which this model can be scaled across different asset types.

The stablecoin positioning battle escalates: When compliance is just a ticket to entry, will USD1 become the biggest winner?
How does the GENIUS Act reshape the stablecoin landscape?

A16Z: The sun bears witness, SpaceX is worth 7.5 trillion
A deep analysis of Musk's ultimate grand vision: how SpaceX, xAI, and Tesla are deeply intertwined, using space AI data centers and Starships to gradually turn the sci-fi fantasies of Mars colonization and multi-planetary civilization into reality.
Morning Report | Illinois signs the strictest digital asset tax law in the U.S.; RWA tokenization market size surpasses $43 billion, institutions accelerate the migration of on-chain assets
Overview of Important Market Events on June 17
Full version of the debut Q&A! Federal Reserve Chairman Waller: Sticking to the 2% inflation target, establishing five special working groups, individual did not submit the dot plot
Federal Reserve Chairman Waller's debut featured a significant slimming statement, the cancellation of forward guidance, refusal to submit the dot plot, and the establishment of five working groups, vowing to uphold the 2% inflation target, which triggered a sharp decline in U.S. stocks and a surge ...
From Disruptor to Shadow Market: The Crypto Market is Becoming a Colony of Traditional Finance
"Coin-stock linkage" has evolved from the early stage of macro correlation and one-way penetration of emotional funds to the current 3.0 stage, where on-chain perpetual contracts provide extended trading hours and emotional signal value for traditional assets 24/7, and participate in Pre-IPO pricing...
Dalio's important long article: How to position in the current market environment?
Do not confuse the excitement for new technologies with whether those tech stocks are attractive.
OKX Star analyzes Binance's competitive advantages: when regulation levels the playing field, competition has just begun
OKX founder Star published a lengthy article, systematically analyzing Binance's competitive advantages over the years: regulatory arbitrage, speculative narrative cycles, social media control, and superficial compliance, stating that the essence of these advantages is not product capability, but ra...
New gameplay for participating in initial offerings on cryptocurrency exchanges
In this competition for cutting-edge assets, what has always been truly scarce is not the technology, but the underlying equity itself.
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Program:support@weex.com

