The bigger the base, the higher in space

By: bitcoin ethereum news|2025/05/08 00:30:02
0
Share
copy
Two decades ago, while reading the outstanding Technical Research “Market Interpretations” from Louise Yamada and her team, I came across “The Technician’s creed – in price there is knowledge” where one of the assumptions of technical analysis is that periods of accumulation precede uptrends, and periods of distribution precede downtrends; additionally, that the size, or extent, of an accumulation or distribution tends to have a relationship to any ensuing advance or decline. In other words, trends tend to have relationships to another. Simplistically said, the bigger the base, the higher in space; the bigger the top, the bigger the drop; and the bigger the drop, the longer the need for repair... With that in mind, here’s a monthly chart of the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), which has been building a base for the past twelve years! GDXJ was indeed in need of repair after its drop from its 2011 highs. Now, I will not get ahead of myself with a stratospheric price target, especially when the price has not even broken out of its resistance yet... Therefore I will go for a down-to-earth target by using the Fibonacci extension levels from the last meaningful pullback, i.e. August 2020 high to September 2022 low, which projects a first target just under $91. But again, first things first, I will let the price break out of its base before acting on it. For that to happen, the price needs to get above $66 on a monthly closing basis. TRV: Fibonacci guides the current uptrend The monthly chart of Travelers Companies (TRV) shows an impressive adherence to the Fibonacci extension levels, anchored from the September 2008 high to the October 2008 low. In March 2020, TRV bottomed 5 cents away from a Fibonacci extension, marking a significant turning point. Since that low, the stock has been in a strong uptrend. One interesting feature is the behavior around the 4.236 Fibonacci extension (~$155), which initially acted as stiff resistance in early 2018, mid 2019 and 2021 spending most of its year around that level. After a decisive breakout above this $155 area, it flipped to become a reliable support, being tested a few times in 2022 and again in 2023, reinforcing the strength of the uptrend as the price keeps making a series of higher highs and higher lows. The RSI remains in a bullish regime (more on that in Friday’s edition – but in short, when the RSI doesn’t go below a certain level during pullbacks, it is known to be in a bullish regime). TRV is now eyeing the next major extension at the 11.09 Fibonacci level (~$358), which serves as a long-term upside target. ITB breaks down after bearish divergence flags trend shift The weekly chart of the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) illustrates a trend reversal following a multi-year uptrend from the March 2020 low to the October 2024 high. During its ascent, ITB was well-supported by two distinct trendlines: A dotted blue trendline connecting the lows of the candle bodies, A solid blue trendline tracing the lows of the wicks/shadows. Both trendlines offered reliable support, reflecting a healthy uptrend. However, an early warning sign emerged in 2024: a bearish divergence developed on the RSI between the March 2024 high and the October 2024 high. Although the price made a higher high in October, the RSI posted a lower high, signaling that the upward momentum was weakening despite rising prices. This divergence is a classic indicator that buyers are losing strength and that a potential reversal could be on the horizon. By early 2025, the price broke below the trendlines, confirming a shift in the market structure. The ETF is now consolidating near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (~$88.80), drawn from the 2020 low to the 2024 peak. Bottom line: The breakdown below both trendlines, coupled with the prior RSI bearish divergence, confirms that ITB’s primary uptrend has reversed. The $88 support should be watched closely: a sustained breach could trigger deeper pullbacks toward the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. Unlock exclusive gold and silver trading signals and updates that most investors don’t see. Join our free newsletter now! Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/gdxj-the-bigger-the-base-the-higher-in-space-202505071356

-- Price

--

You may also like

SK Hynix Reportedly Plans U.S. ADR Listing as Early as August, With SEC Approval Possible in Late June

SK Hynix may pursue a U.S. ADR listing as early as August, with SEC approval reportedly possible in late June amid strong AI chip supply chain demand.

SpaceX vs Tesla vs xAI: Which Elon Musk Trade Has the Biggest Upside in 2026?

SpaceX's IPO is days away, Tesla holds over 11,000 BTC, and xAI is betting big on AI. Here's how traders are comparing the three biggest Musk narratives.

OpenAI Reveals It Has Confidentially Submitted an S-1 to the SEC, Keeping the Door Open for a Future IPO

On June 9, according to an OpenAI announcement, the company recently confidentially submitted a draft S-1 registration statement to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), beginning the preliminary compliance process for a potential initial public offering. OpenAI said it chose to disclose this proactively because it expected the news might leak; however, the company has not yet set a specific listing timeline, and related arrangements may still take some time.

Latest research from 13 top universities including Cornell University: The current state, challenges, and misconceptions of the fusion of Crypto and AI

The combination of AI and crypto is still in its early stages, with both serving as complementary "middleware": AI translates human intentions into executable programs, while cryptographic technology provides verifiable and tamper-proof guarantees for computational processes and results. In the dire...

Deconstructing Anthropic: The Best AI Company, Possibly Also a Type of Organizational Invention

Instead of competing with ambition, focusing on restraint, how does Anthropic leverage extreme strategic focus and an "counterintuitive" geek culture to counterattack OpenAI on the AI battlefield?

Apollo and Blackstone Reportedly Back $35 Billion Anthropic Chip Financing as Deal Details Remain Unclear

On June 9, according to currently available news alerts, Apollo and Blackstone Group participated in a $35 billion financing for an Anthropic “chip project.” Based on the original wording of the report, the funding has already been raised, but public information remains limited. The financing structure, use of proceeds, project entity, and whether Apollo and Blackstone participated through equity, debt, or project financing have not yet been disclosed.

Contents

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

Read more
iconiconiconiconiconiconicon
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Program:support@weex.com