Predicted Market Nominal Trading Volume Reaches $113.8 Billion in Q2, Setting a New Historical High

In the second quarter of 2026, the predicted nominal trading volume of the market is expected to reach $113.8 billion, setting a new record for a single quarter. During the same period, the scale of the spot CEX, perpetual futures, and stablecoin markets all declined. The top ten centralized exchanges (CEX) recorded a spot trading volume of $1.95 trillion in Q2, a decrease of 27.9% from $2.7 trillion in Q1; CEX perpetual futures trading volume fell by 10% to $12.7 trillion, and the stablecoin market size decreased by 1.6% to $305.1 billion. Binance's market share in the spot CEX market rose to 38.7% in Q2. The trading volume of the top ten decentralized exchanges (DEX) dropped from $556.4 billion in Q1 to $408.9 billion, with Uniswap leading with a 41.2% market share. The predicted nominal trading volume for the market in June is expected to reach $50.7 billion, reflecting a 91.9% increase compared to the average of the previous five months. Kalshi leads in Q2 with a market share of 58.9%, while Polymarket's share decreased from 35.8% to 30.2%.

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