Ethereum Classic is Forecasted to Climb to $14.99 by December 19, 2025

By: crypto insight|2025/12/16 15:30:13
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Key Takeaways:

  • Ethereum Classic (ETC) is currently trading at $12.77 and is projected to increase by 16.54% in the next five days, aiming for a $14.99 target by December 19, 2025.
  • The market sentiment is predominantly bearish, with the Fear & Greed Index pointing to an “Extreme Fear” level at 21.
  • Current technical analysis shows mixed signals; although ETC is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages, overall market sentiment remains negative.
  • The cryptocurrency market’s unpredictability highlights the need for cautious investment strategies, particularly given Ethereum Classic’s recent performance.

WEEX Crypto News, 2025-12-16 07:21:39

Ethereum Classic (ETC) is making headlines once again as market analysts predict a notable price increase by December 19, 2025. The cryptocurrency, which is currently valued at $12.77, is expected to rise to $14.99, marking a potential 16.54% increase within a tight five-day window. Despite the positive outlook for this short-term rise, Ethereum Classic’s recent performance has been less than stellar, characterized by a significantly bearish trend and a market sentiment steeped in extreme fear.

A Snapshot of Current Market Conditions

To understand where Ethereum Classic stands today, we must first look at the broader market dynamics it’s navigating. At present, Ethereum Classic has seen a 3.36% decrease over the last 24 hours, reflecting a broader pullback in the cryptocurrency market where the total market cap dropped by 3.00% within the same period. More specifically, ETC has underperformed against Bitcoin, losing 1.60% on the day against the leading cryptocurrency. This underperformance is crucial as Bitcoin often serves as a performance benchmark within the crypto space.

The Role of Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis

Market sentiment plays a crucial role in cryptocurrency valuations, often driving price movements beyond the influence of fundamental factors. The current sentiment for Ethereum Classic is notably bearish, with four technical indicators suggesting bullish activity overshadowed by 24 bearish signals. This acutely bearish outlook is compounded by a Fear & Greed Index rating at a level of 21, categorized as “Extreme Fear.” This particular reading is indicative of a market environment where investors are hesitant, potentially creating a buying opportunity for those banking on future bullish reversals.

Analyzing Ethereum Classic’s Performance

Recent Performance Metrics

Ethereum Classic has been in troubled waters over both the short and long term. Over the past 30 days, the value has dropped by 14.40%, and in the past three months, a more pronounced decline of 37.16% has been observed. The one-year perspective is bleaker, showing a staggering 60.34% decrease from 2024’s levels, where ETC was valued at $32.20 exactly a year prior. These declines underscore a challenging period for Ethereum Classic, especially considering its all-time high of $165.75 experienced on May 6, 2021.

Despite such setbacks, the current cycle highs and lows are also illustrative of the coin’s volatile nature. The highest price in the current cycle is $18.65, and the lowest bottomed out at $9.27. The one-month volatility index registers a relatively muted 4.25, hinting at some stability and possibly setting the stage for the predicted upswing.

Support and Resistance Dynamics

Key support levels for Ethereum Classic lie at $13.07, $12.90, and $12.81. These price points are critical for maintaining current valuations, preventing further declines. Conversely, breaking past resistance levels of $13.33, $13.42, and $13.58 could herald the forecasted rise towards $14.99.

Furthermore, technical analysis of moving averages suggests mixed signals. Ethereum Classic is trading above the 50-day Simple Moving Average which traditionally signals bullish trends, yet remains below the long-term 200-day trendline. The implication here is that while short-term fluctuations could favor gains, long-term positions are still technically bearish, demanding strategic caution.

Looking at Market Sentiment — An Analysis

The Impact of Fear and Greed Index

In the speculative world of cryptocurrency, understanding sentiment is as crucial as technical factors. Currently, the Fear & Greed Index quantifies market sentiment at an “Extreme Fear” level, reflecting widespread hesitancy. Historically, periods of extreme fear often precede market rebounds, but they also present risks, as the pervasive pessimism could linger longer than anticipated.

The sentiment surrounding Ethereum Classic can serve as either a warning sign or a potential contrarian indicator for seasoned investors willing to go against the crowd in anticipation of corrected valuations.

Predictions and Recommendations

Varied technical indicators give a clearer picture of Ethereum Classic’s current stance. While popular indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI 14), which is currently neutral at 43.45, and moving averages track immediate trendlines, investors often look for consensus across different metrics before making decisions. Other indicators, like the Average Directional Index, are recorded at 22.17, denoting a neutral outlook.

The Necessity for Informed Decisions

Given the volatility and unpredictability of the cryptocurrency markets, it is vital for investors to remain informed. By keeping abreast of key indicators, market sentiment data, and technical analyses, stakeholders can better position themselves to either capitalize on potential upward movements or mitigate potential downturns.

The Long-Term View: Challenges and Opportunities

While the immediate future for Ethereum Classic carries the hope of a 16.54% increase, the long-term challenges remain conspicuous. The severe declines over the past year accentuate the importance of strategic foresight for anyone involved with this asset. Long-term holders or potential new investors must consider both the inherent risks and rewards of delving deeper into Ethereum Classic, particularly with the looming fluctuations.

Navigating Volatility with Strategic Insight

Volatility remains a hallmark of the cryptocurrency landscape. Moreover, Ethereum Classic’s past performance is a poignant reminder of how swiftly fortunes can shift. Hence, potential and current investors alike must approach this asset with a mix of caution and optimism, always prepared for swift changes in either direction.

Ethereum Classic’s Market Technicals

Oscillator Analysis

Assessing oscillators, key instruments for gauging potential reversals, many such as Stoch RSI, MACD, and the Commodity Channel Index are currently marking neutral signals. This neutrality underscores the present uncertainty within the ETC market, suggesting neither an overbought nor oversold condition.

Implications of Moving Averages

The moving averages provide nuanced insights. While Ethereum Classic trades above its 50-day SMA, signaling near-term bullishness, breaching this could support further ascension. However, remaining below critical longer SMAs such as the 200-day envelops these hopeful gains with a wider bearish context. This juxtaposes short-term optimism against long-term caution.

Conclusion: The Crucial Balance of Opportunities and Risks

The projection for Ethereum Classic reaching $14.99 by December 19, 2025, tantalizes with prospective short-term gains. Yet, the sobering analysis reflects a backdrop of acute fluctuations marked by a prevailing bearish consensus. Therefore, investors must weigh their engagement carefully, integrating strategic foresight with real-time market insights to maximize opportunities while mitigating inherent risks.

Final Thoughts

Navigating within the space of cryptocurrency, especially concerning Ethereum Classic at this juncture, calls for an approach characterized by adaptability and thorough research. Various indicators provide a mixed bag of predictions, urging investors to either seize upcoming opportunities or cautiously wait out current trepidations. As with all investments, maintaining a balanced perspective in the face of volatility will be crucial to shaping favorable outcomes.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

What is the current market sentiment for Ethereum Classic?

The market sentiment for Ethereum Classic is predominantly bearish. This is reflected in the Fear & Greed Index reading of 21, indicating extreme fear among investors.

How does Ethereum Classic’s recent performance affect its future outlook?

Ethereum Classic has seen a decline in value over the recent months, with noteworthy drops observed over the past year. This performance can potentially impact its immediate market perception, though some analysts believe it represents a buying opportunity.

What are the key support and resistance levels for Ethereum Classic?

For Ethereum Classic, key support levels are marked at $13.07, $12.90, and $12.81, while significant resistance levels are $13.33, $13.42, and $13.58.

How do the current technical indicators influence the price prediction for Ethereum Classic?

Technical indicators present mixed signals. Some, such as the RSI at 43.45, are neutral, whereas moving averages indicate Ethereum Classic’s current trading aligns with short-term positive signals but suggest long-term caution.

Is the cryptocurrency market’s “Extreme Fear” a good indicator for investing?

“Extreme Fear” on the Fear & Greed index implies hesitancy and conservative investor behavior. This may signal a buying opportunity for some due to potentially undervalued conditions, yet it also cautions of prevailing uncertainties and potential declines.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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