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Analyst: Inflation Data to Take Center Stage, BTC Whale Sellers Losing Interest
BlockBeats News, December 15th, as the last FOMC meeting of 2025 concluded, the market has fully shifted its focus to U.S. data to assess how much the monetary easing policy next year can improve liquidity conditions. Retail sales, jobless claims, CPI, PCE, and speeches by several Fed officials will take center stage, with the risk of interest rate expectation repricing on the rise.
BRN Research Director Timothy Misir pointed out: "The macro agenda has become the market's focus." He stated that the market is no longer directly trading the fact of last week's rate cut but is instead turning to data that could validate or challenge that decision. "Inflation data will be crucial—any unexpectedly strong upward movement could reinforce the 'hawkish rate cut' narrative, while softer data could potentially reopen the upside path for risk assets before the year-end."
Furthermore, on-chain data shows a easing of selling pressure from large holders. CryptoQuant data shows that the flow of "wholecoin whales" to Binance (i.e., transactions where more than 1 BTC is sent to an exchange in a single transaction) has plummeted to the lowest level since 2018, with the annual average now around 6,500 BTC and the weekly average hovering around 5,200 BTC.
CryptoQuant analysts pointed out: "This trend indicates a reduced willingness of large BTC holders to sell." They also mentioned that the broader ecosystem expansion has diverted funds from centralized exchanges. Misir added: "The inflow of wholecoin whales to Binance is collapsing, indicating a weakening intent to sell by large holders. Even though price performance is still not ideal, internal pressure is actually easing."
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